Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.000178 0.000197 0.000218 0.000242 0.000269 0.000299 0.000334
2025-04-27 0.000145 0.000174 0.000207 0.000249 0.000301 0.000364 0.000446
2025-05-04 0.000122 0.000154 0.000194 0.000248 0.000320 0.000412 0.000542
2025-05-11 0.000107 0.000142 0.000187 0.000251 0.000340 0.000463 0.000647
2025-05-18 0.000095 0.000130 0.000178 0.000249 0.000353 0.000504 0.000742
2025-05-25 0.000085 0.000121 0.000170 0.000247 0.000365 0.000543 0.000840
2025-06-01 0.000077 0.000112 0.000163 0.000244 0.000373 0.000577 0.000933
2025-06-08 0.000069 0.000102 0.000153 0.000235 0.000371 0.000594 0.001002
2025-06-15 0.000065 0.000098 0.000150 0.000238 0.000388 0.000644 0.001131
2025-06-22 0.000061 0.000095 0.000149 0.000243 0.000409 0.000702 0.001285
2025-06-29 0.000056 0.000089 0.000142 0.000238 0.000411 0.000727 0.001380
2025-07-06 0.000051 0.000082 0.000133 0.000227 0.000403 0.000731 0.001434
2025-07-13 0.000048 0.000079 0.000131 0.000229 0.000417 0.000782 0.001599
2025-07-20 0.000046 0.000077 0.000130 0.000234 0.000439 0.000853 0.001821
2025-07-27 0.000043 0.000073 0.000127 0.000233 0.000449 0.000901 0.002000
2025-08-03 0.000041 0.000071 0.000125 0.000235 0.000466 0.000966 0.002232
2025-08-10 0.000038 0.000067 0.000121 0.000233 0.000475 0.001013 0.002432
2025-08-17 0.000036 0.000064 0.000118 0.000231 0.000483 0.001061 0.002644
2025-08-24 0.000034 0.000061 0.000114 0.000228 0.000488 0.001101 0.002843
2025-08-31 0.000031 0.000057 0.000108 0.000220 0.000481 0.001111 0.002959
2025-09-07 0.000030 0.000056 0.000107 0.000223 0.000498 0.001187 0.003285
2025-09-14 0.000029 0.000055 0.000107 0.000228 0.000522 0.001279 0.003685
2025-09-21 0.000027 0.000052 0.000103 0.000223 0.000521 0.001308 0.003890